Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1213.177032 1376.861677 1558.285639 1774.944695 2027.497557 2313.612010 2663.724533
2025-09-28 928.390026 1135.547131 1386.185332 1714.390757 2136.696716 2667.041834 3391.764544
2025-10-05 817.320749 1052.106605 1353.886658 1775.625779 2358.426559 3148.319418 4322.323760
2025-10-12 729.163139 977.008569 1311.185951 1803.288540 2524.223149 3565.480990 5227.994705
2025-10-19 660.849556 915.877500 1273.979082 1825.584019 2675.938446 3975.350532 6188.799307
2025-10-26 605.637007 864.458080 1241.069403 1844.858982 2819.359432 4387.158883 7223.412771
2025-11-02 568.154321 833.390316 1232.357754 1896.535325 3016.394049 4909.887885 8543.809641
2025-11-09 528.129470 793.407655 1204.260912 1911.503626 3151.737789 5345.807724 9792.933455
2025-11-16 492.195957 755.661724 1174.738631 1918.741971 3272.033477 5770.331217 11105.497091
2025-11-23 463.216791 725.894715 1154.413796 1937.944771 3414.307643 6255.479685 12644.578361
2025-11-30 440.009437 703.169321 1143.019522 1970.550582 3584.484857 6820.533467 14484.122854
2025-12-07 405.491485 658.250181 1089.033812 1918.443874 3582.170919 7032.814461 15565.432730
2025-12-14 373.236818 615.487205 1036.535173 1866.371355 3579.361220 7257.971289 16772.906094
2025-12-21 342.536087 573.120541 981.240687 1803.324328 3546.634062 7415.880813 17865.364908
2025-12-28 332.444874 566.500243 990.387611 1868.251857 3795.296306 8259.072578 21017.463096
2026-01-04 318.576195 551.724868 982.674901 1897.605417 3969.650645 8960.151518 23993.136724
2026-01-11 305.201241 536.694021 972.930304 1921.266068 4134.304587 9669.951367 27229.817314
2026-01-18 292.562362 521.989608 962.373322 1941.723568 4294.358421 10400.773907 30788.963286
2026-01-25 284.483766 515.365623 967.223847 1996.580641 4547.109951 11436.512248 35765.348207
2026-02-01 273.067260 501.279543 955.538338 2012.473032 4704.068536 12238.229746 40230.999413
2026-02-08 261.730830 486.487984 941.066515 2020.158690 4841.004141 13012.726554 44919.431510
2026-02-15 252.334218 474.914861 932.375867 2040.549569 5015.615522 13943.581205 50653.261128
2026-02-22 244.744361 466.479164 929.677297 2075.177291 5235.700171 15073.339218 57783.133130